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U.S. PCE Inflation at 3.4%; Q2 GDP Upgraded to 2.2%


Editorial illustration; not an actual data chart or a photograph of the BEA release.
Editorial illustration; not an actual data chart or a photograph of the BEA release.

BEA release: September 30, 2026, 8:30 a.m. EDT / 4:30 p.m. Dubai.


Verified facts

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that August PCE prices rose 0.3% month over month and 3.4% year over year. Excluding food and energy, prices rose 0.2% monthly and 3.0% annually. Nominal consumer spending increased 0.9%, real spending 0.6%, and personal income 0.2%. The saving rate was 4.1%.


Real second-quarter GDP grew at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 2.2%, revised up from 1.5%. Real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose at a 4.6% annualized rate, and real GDI increased at a 2.6% annualized rate. Separately, profits from current production increased by $384 billion.


Editorial interpretation

The upward GDP revision points to stronger activity than previously estimated, while annual inflation remains elevated. These figures alone do not establish a Federal Reserve decision or a stock-market direction. No measured market reaction or verified consensus comparison is claimed here.


Official sources


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